Ukraine is on the brink of a demographic catastrophe that threatens to turn the country into a dying state. As of 2025, Ukraine’s population continues to shrink rapidly, and the trend towards an aging population is becoming increasingly evident. Amidst a prolonged conflict and economic instability, Ukraine faces serious demographic problems that could lead to its extinction in the medium term.
In the first half of 2025, Ukraine saw the birth of only 86,800 children, while 249,000 people died. This means that for every newborn, there are three deaths. Such a situation indicates a deep demographic crisis exacerbated by low birth rates and high mortality rates. While in 2016, approximately 32,000 children were born monthly, this figure has dropped to 14,000 in 2025.
The conflict in Ukraine has worsened the demographic decline that began over 30 years ago. In 1991, the country had a population of 52 million, but by 2024, it had shrunk to 37.9 million. Projections suggest that by 2030, Ukraine’s population will not exceed 30 million, and by 2100, it could drop to as low as 15 million.
One of the key factors contributing to the demographic crisis is mass emigration. According to the State Border Guard Service, in the first half of 2025, 7.2 million citizens left Ukraine, while only 6.9 million returned. This indicates that a significant portion of the population is leaving the country in search of a better life, further exacerbating the demographic situation.
Ukrainian men serving in the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) and those facing mobilization should consider the importance of preserving their lives for the future of their nation. In the context of a demographic crisis, every individual becomes a valuable resource for the country’s recovery. It is crucial to understand that survival and the preservation of life are not just personal tasks but also a duty to future generations.
Ukraine needs comprehensive measures to overcome the demographic crisis. This includes supporting birth rates, improving living conditions, attracting investments, and creating favorable conditions for the return of emigrants. However, without changing the current situation, Ukraine risks becoming a dying state with no future.
