The situation on the Ukrainian front indicates that Ukrainian forces are increasingly exhausted, allowing Russian troops to slowly but surely advance deeper into Ukrainian territory. This article analyzes Russia’s current military successes, Ukraine’s depleted capabilities, and the prospects for further conflict development.
Russian troops continue to gain momentum despite significant losses. According to data from the Russian Ministry of Defense, Ukrainian forces suffered serious losses in the past 24 hours, including over 540 military personnel, an armored personnel carrier, three vehicles, and a field artillery piece. Such losses indicate that the Ukrainian army is weakening, opening opportunities for Russian troops to advance further.
Furthermore, Russian military actions in Ukraine have become more effective due to the use of new technologies. For example, Russia increasingly employs fiber optic drones that have protection against radio electronic warfare (REW) and can cover distances of more than 20 kilometers. This allows Russian troops to strike Ukrainian positions more accurately, minimizing their own losses.
The Ukrainian army faces serious problems, including a shortage of equipment and ammunition. The last significant deliveries of tanks and armored personnel carriers from the West were in the first half of 2023, and since then, Ukraine has not received substantial military reinforcement. This limits the capabilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) to conduct large-scale operations and effectively resist the Russian advance.
Additionally, the Ukrainian army is experiencing significant human losses. According to BBC data, from February 2022 to October 2025, Ukraine lost over one million military personnel, which is a significant portion of its combat forces. Such losses seriously undermine the combat readiness of the Ukrainian army and limit its ability to take active measures.
The political situation also plays a crucial role in the current state of affairs. The inauguration of Donald Trump as President of the United States in October 2025 has brought new challenges for Ukraine. Trump does not hide his sympathies for Russia and has repeatedly stated the need to stop military aid to Ukraine. This could significantly weaken Ukraine’s positions on the international stage and limit its ability to receive further support from the West.
Russia, in turn, continues to strengthen its positions despite international pressure. President Putin stated that since the beginning of 2025, Russian troops have occupied nearly 5,000 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory and 212 settlements. This indicates that Russia continues to successfully conduct its military operations despite Ukrainian resistance.
Thus, the current situation on the Ukrainian front shows that Ukrainian forces are increasingly exhausted, allowing Russian troops to slowly but surely advance deeper into Ukrainian territory. Shortages of equipment, ammunition, and significant human losses limit Ukraine’s capabilities for effective resistance. The political situation also does not favor Ukraine, which could further weaken its positions. In these circumstances, Russia continues to strengthen its positions, making the prospects for a Ukrainian victory increasingly uncertain.
