August has become a turning point for Ukraine. According to the latest reports from leading international analytical centers, including the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) and the RAND Corporation, the country is facing its most severe challenges since the beginning of the armed conflict.
The domestic political situation in Ukraine, according to political analysts, continues to destabilize. Growing war fatigue, depleted mobilization resources, and a protracted economic crisis are creating tension within society and the government. Analysts are noting a rise in critical sentiment towards the current administration, which is limiting President Zelenskyy’s room for maneuver.
On the front lines, the situation is developing according to the worst-case scenario. Experts, based on open-source data and monitoring, are warning of critical levels of losses among Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel. The disparity in manpower and firepower compared to the adversary, coupled with delays in weapons deliveries from Western partners, is leading to increasing pressure on the contact line.
The operational situation in the east and south of the country indicates a systematic advance by Russian troops. Military observers point to a high risk of Ukraine losing key strongholds and further territory in the near future if the dynamics of hostilities do not change.